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Okay, okay, I haven’t written a lot lately.
I haven’t been thinking a lot lately.
I have read a lot lately. I’m still thinking because of that.
I have done a lot lately. I’m still buzzing with energy because of that.
XP Days Benelux;Bootcamp; Toyota Talent;Consciousness; Protocols; Evolution; Lean accounting;Free will;XP Days London;Throughput accounting;Scary ideas;Innovation;Software For your Head; Agile 2008; sessions, sessions, sessions; XP Day Switzerland; agile business and some stuff I can’t talk about yet.
Take your pick, take a fieldstone, any fieldstone. There should be enough stones right there to keep me building for a while
The newspaper reported that Toyota is almost doubling the size of their parts warehouse in Belgium. It will be almost as big as the warehouse Toyota have in Japan. The reporter insinuates (“insiders say that…“) that this is because Japanese headquarters wouldn’t want a Belgian warehouse to be bigger than the one in Japan. Is Toyota now playing the “my warehouse (full of costly unsold goods) is larger than yours!” game?
Well no. As the parts center manager says: “Our parts warehouse is only a third or a quarter of the size of warehouses of other carmakers. We typically hold 15 to 20 days of stock, they hold 2 to 3 months worth of stock.”
He attributes this performance to the low degree of automation: “many operations are still manual, which keeps our investment low and enables us to be very flexible. Our whole organisation is changed every two years to increase efficiency, which wouldn’t be possible if we had automated more.”
At a recent visit to a parcel sorting center, some people doing the tour wondered why the company employed so many people. Why wasn’t more of the work automated? Tip: people are more inventive and flexible than machines and computers. At least, if you let them, if you use their creativity.
Flow? Traffic jams.
As we saw in the first part of this story, we tried to create flow to keep the constraint resource (the voting booths) utilized at maximum capacity. The process diagram looks quite clean and clear. But look at how it looks when we lay out the process steps on the physical layout of the room:
See how the paths of people entering and leaving the booths criss-cross? Because the reader in the box where voters insert their token (step 6 ) is quite slow (and because this reader has a usability problem we’ll see later), people start to queue before the token reader. Not so much flowing as a traffic jam.
Because people come back to the token reader after leaving the booth, they also go back in the direction of the entrance. Our natural instinct is to leave a ‘room’ the same way we entered it. The result is that some people forget to take back their ID (step 8 ) and most people try to leave via the entrance, trying to force their way through the queue that’s forming there.
The designers of these polling rooms should read pattern 131 “The flow through rooms” from Christopher Alexander’s A Pattern Language: “The movement between rooms is as important as the rooms themselves; and its arrangement has as much effect on social interaction in the rooms, as the interiors of the rooms”. Move that token reader and the returning of the ID to the extreme left and near the exit. The paths of people entering and leaving polling booths will intersect less. After inserting the token, people will more likely move to step 8, because it is nearer than any other potential activity. Because the exit is now in sight (and the entrance isn’t), they will naturally exit the room via the exit.
The usability (or lack thereof) of cards
The voting computers record votes on creditcard-like cards with a magnetic stripe. To operate the voting computers, voters insert the cards horizontally in the computers, magnetic strip at the bottom, much as they would do at an ATM. I don’t think anybody had any problem with that.
After voting, the cards are inserted in a sealed box with a card reader. The reader verifies the validity of the card and increments a counter. The reader is placed horizontally, not vertically like an ATM mounted in a wall.
How would you insert the card?
Below is a picture of both sides of the card. How would you insert the card in the reader? Like the card on the left or the card on the right? There are two more permutations, but these two are the most used ones. Take a moment to decide. Don’t look at the solution below 🙂
No peeking!
The correct answer is… the card on the left. The option chosen by the large majority of users is the card on the right, despite the fact that there is a drawing on box depicting the image on the left. Horizontal card readers like this one are used frequently at payment terminals, but in that case you have to insert the card with the image facing yourself, just like the card on the right. Card users know these conventions:
- In a vertical (ATM style) reader: magnetic strip below, image above
- In a horizontal (payment terminal) reader: magnetic strip rear, image front
This card reader defies convention (just after the voting computer has conformed to the convention) and users are confused.
Stop and go at the slow reader
The card reader is quite slow. If you try insert the second card too quickly after the previous card, the card is stuck. The first instinct of the voters is to push harder. This doesn’t work. The only thing that works is to take the card back and wait until the reader is ready. How do you know the reader is ready? After a while, we knew that the reader emitted a faint “whirr-click” when it had processed one card and was ready for another card. The best solution would be to have a faster reader. If that’s not possible, give the user some indication when the reader is ready, for example with a small red and green light. Neither of these options were available to us, so we had to spend some time to regulate access to this mini-bottleneck.
Keep it flowing
Most of the work throughout the day is about the same in size: verify and register one or a group of two or three people and let them vote. Sometimes, the work is larger and takes longer. For example, when someone acts like a proxy, their documents have to be verified and filed before they are allowed to vote. In these cases, the person is immediately taken out of the line at step 2 and put into a waiting buffer while verifications are performed. Meanwhile, the other (standard) voters get processed as usual. As soon as the verification is performed, the voter is returned to the head of the queue and their (now standard) request is treated. Except for step 2, everybody only deals with small, standard tasks.
Being interruptable, so you don’t have to be
Of course, someone has to verify those proxy documents. Someone has to answer questions or help people who have problems. All of those interrupt-driven tasks are performed by the team leader. They don’t perform any of the tasks in the process, they are available to be interrupted. If a new interrupt arrives when the team leader is already servicing an interrupt, an idle team member handles the interrupt or the interrupt is queued for the team leader.
An interruptable teammember with plenty of slack. Every team should have (at least) one!
Are we having fun yet?
Are you the kind of person that thinks this is a fun way to spend a Sunday morning? Are you the kind of person who thinks “Hmmm… How could I make this go faster? How could I avoid these errors? How could I make this more fun?” at work, in the checkout queue in the supermarket or when you’re mowing the lawn? If you are or would like to be like that, join Rob Westgeest and me at the “I’m not a bottleneck! I’m a free man!” simulation at the Agile Business Conference on 2 and 3 October 2007 in London. Or join us at the XP Days Benelux 2007 or any other fine agile event in your neighbourhood.
Poll Day
Today, Belgians voted for the Federal parliament. This year, for the first time, I was chosen as part of a 5 person team to man the polling station. So, I spent most of Sunday thinking about and implementing process improvement. This Lean and Theory of Constraints stuff is addictive!
Step 1: What is the Goal?
We want to reduce the waiting time, the time people spend in the queue before being able to cast their vote. The queue length is easy to see, that gives us Visual Control.
Step 2: Where is the bottleneck?
Most polling stations use computers, some use paper ballots. The computer-based voting process has the following steps:
- Voter presents ID card and their invitation to vote
- Team verifies that the voter has come to the correct polling station and that the invitation matches the ID
- Team verifies that the voter is on the register and register their presence
- Voter receives their voting token, a card with a magnetic stripe
- Voter chooses their candidates for the lower House and the Senate (X 5 polling booths)
- Voter inserts their voting token (the magnetic strip contains their choice) into a sealed box. The token is validated and counted during insertion.
- Team verifies that the voter is on the register and register their presence again, by second person
- Voter receives back their ID card and their invitation, now stamped to indicate that they have voted
- Voter leaves.
It was quickly apparent that the voting booths (thick red lines) were the bottleneck: we could fill all the booths with voters, everybody on the team had idle periods, even when there was a queue. We had a ‘bottleneck in waiting‘ in step 3 (thin red line): when a lot of people showed up after a slow period (and the booths were empty), voters had to wait for step 3 to get to the booth.
Step 3: exploit the constraint
So, if the booths are the bottleneck, we will improve throughput by exploiting the booths: try to keep the booths filled at all time. As soon as someone left a booth, the next person in line received a voting token and could enter the booth. During busy periods (of course, voters don’t arrive evenly spaced out over the day), when there was a queue, we achieved very high utlization of the constraint resource.
Step 4: subordinate to the constraint
No problem for the team members behind the bottleneck. They could work at a sustainable pace, as people came out of the booths.
The three people performing steps 2-3-4 worked at the rhythm of the booths. A one-person buffer was created before the bottleneck, so that there was always someone ready to enter a vacated booth. Another one-person buffer was created before step 3, the one task that might starve the bottleneck.
The voting computers are not very dependable. They regularly break down, leading to long queues and in a few cases to delays in voting. Another subordination is to have plenty of people on site or on call who can fix the computers. One of the five computers broke down twice during the day. Whenever that happened, queues lengthened, reinforcing our assessment that the voting booths/computers were the bottleneck. These breakdowns accidentally “lowered the water level to expose the rocks“. Luckily, in both cases, the machines were ‘fixed’ (or just rebooted?) quickly.
Fixing quickly is nice; avoiding problems is better. What are the root causes of these breakdowns and installation errors? In one polling station the computers didn’t work, because “the cables were connected incorrectly”. Is there a way to detect this kind of problems quickly (Jidoka) or to avoid wrong connections (Poka-Yoke)?
One-family flow
There are two one-person buffers, before the two bottlenecks. The rest is flow, following the “flow where you can, pull where you must” adage. We found a way to reduce the load on the minor bottleneck by increasing the first buffer to one family. The electoral register is sorted by address. Therefore, it is very easy to check off multiple people living at the same address. Thus, the person performing step 2 takes on a bit more work (not being the bottleneck, there’s capacity to spare): look ahead in the queue so that people living at the same address are presented together for verification. Thus, the buffer before step 3 is family-sized, the buffer before the booths is still one person. With this improvement of step 3 in place, we could fill the booths up more quickly after a lull, and thus bottleneck utilization went up again.
Step 5: elevate the constraint
Most people use the voting computers without problem. I found them to be a little slow. However, some people have trouble using the computers. This is probably the one time in the year that they use a computer. The display tries to mimic the paper and pen-based voting process, but the UNDO and CONFIRM buttons seemed to confuse people: “Why should we confirm our choice? We’ve already made our choice with the pen“. The mixed metaphor confuses: it’s like paper-based voting (mark your choice with the electronic pen), with which voters are familiar, combined with the undo-ability of an electronic form, with which many voters are not familiar. Of course, we couldn’t do any detailed user interaction studies, what with the confidentiality of the vote 🙂
The voting rules were another cause of confusion and questions. You can vote for a party and primary and subordinate candidates. Which options can you combine, which combinations are illegal? Paper-based voting has the same problem. There were explanations in most media before the vote, but I believe a reminder in the polling station would be useful.
Of course, we could always install more booths. That would be expensive and wouldn’t give us much: most of the time there were no queues or queues with only a few people waiting. Waiting time was never more than 5 minutes between entering the polling station and entering the polling booth. I can’t give you exact numbers (only “most”, “some”, “a few”…), because it’s hard to be participant and observer of a process at the same time.
Step 6: And again!
People arrive randomly at the polling station. Very busy moments alternated with idle time. There was no predictable “takt time”. We made good use of this “feature”. During “slow moments”
- team members took breaks. Because the two sub-groups in the team (before and after the bottleneck) made sure that everybody could perform all the tasks of the subgroups this was never a problem. The other teammembers could still perform all the work, albeit slightly slower.
- we performed lower-priority “book-keeping” and administration chores.
- we looked at the process and discussed improvements. And so we kept on improving.
We have applied the Theory of Constraints and a few Lean techniques. Are we satisfied now? No. Lean people are never satisfied! Next time we’ll see more ways to improve voter throughput.
Tuesday keynote
Unfortunately, we arrived in time to attend the keynote. Before the keynote, some music boomed out of the loudspeakers. What with previous night’s drinks and the loud noise, most people quickly darted out of the hall. When the keynote started, the presenters started to rap, shout and generate feedback with their mikes, accompanied by more music and slides about modernists who thought they knew all the answers. We now know they didn’t and created some monstrosities (just check out some of the “machines for living” on the outskirts of French or Belgian towns). The presenters held forth about post-modernism. I must have missed the joke or the irony, but I found the presentation irritating and left. Nice try to be original. If there was a message there, it got drowned in the sound and fury of the presentation.
I had a chat with Gill, Mike and Sue about their case study of Lean Software Development. I was going to present the theory of Lean in my “Toyota Way” session, after which they could talk about applying these ideas in the real world. They seemed a bit nervous about doing their presentation and they thought I wasn’t nervous because I had done this presentation before. If only they knew. The only difference between an experienced presenter and a new presenter is that the experienced presenter doesn’t show his nervousness. An experienced presenter knows he’s not going to die on stage, but he still feels like he’s going to 🙂
Real options
The first session was led by Chris Matts. He introduced us to “Real Options” as a way to manage uncertainty and risk. We hate uncertainty, therefore we want to take decisions as quickly as possible. A bad decision is better than no decision. Real Options are all about taking decisions at the latest responsible moment, when we have the most information. Most of the time, we’ll have to pay something upfront to be able to postpone that decision, just like with stock options. Most importantly, we aren’t always able to decide as late as we’d like. It’s up to us to create the situation where we can decide later. The best example is Lean or the Toyota Way. By making changeovers (for example from one paint color to another) really fast, Toyota can delay the decision about which color to spray the car very late, when they have the order from a customer. Thus, they don’t have to speculate what color the customers will want and risk being left behind with a lot of unsold cars in a color few people want.
Toyota
All this led nicely to my own session on the Toyota Way, where “deciding at the latest responsible moment” is just one of the myriad techniques. Like at XP Day Benelux, the audience seemed very interested but also a little stunned. There were only a few questions and a little discussion. This is in sharp contrast with the sessions I ran in Paris and Geneva. In those two cases it was hard to bring the discussion to a close after the session, because people kept on asking questions and discussing the Toyota Way.
Case studies and courage
In the afternoon, I went to the case studies track. The Lean Software Development case study went over well. The other case studies were interesting too. We like to hear how real people have overcome real problems on real projects and see that the theory works in practice. Most of the presenters were first-time presenters in front of a large audience and they did very well. I’d like to invite them to a “Presentation Zen” session for a few tricks and pointers. Especially Jamie Dobson. Jamie, stop putting bullets three levels deep, in unreadable 12 point font on your slides! Just tell us your story! That’s what Dave Nicolette did: no slides, no music, just him telling us a story about two different ways to adopt agile methods in two different organisations.
The last session was another goldfish bowl, this time about courage. Courage is not the absence of fear. Courage is what you do, despite being afraid.
And then, back to Belgium. Alas, no time to spend an “Extreme Tuesday” at the pub.
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